You can also look at the sudden spike in deaths and easily tell something was happening. In the US there was an increase in mortality of 19% between 2019 and 20

You can also look at the sudden spike in deaths and easily tell something was happening. In the US there was an increase in mortality of 19% between 2019 and 2020 which is 535k deaths. The typical increase between 2010 and 2019 per year is 1.63%