> nature, unlike Fragilista Greenspan, prepares for what has not happened before, assuming worse harm is possible What utter tosh. The random walk across trai

> nature, unlike Fragilista Greenspan, prepares for what has not happened before, assuming worse harm is possible What utter tosh. The random walk across trait combinations that underlies evolution means that when worse harm occurs there's often a decent chance that at least -some- members of any given species will manage to survive, true, but plenty of species just go extinct in a situation like that. Plus 'prepares' implies an active application of agency that simply isn't part of the underlying process. "Be aware that the next disaster could be worse and try to think clearly about to what extent it's going to be good ROI overall to have defences that will survive it" is good advice and no matter how obvious it might -feel- is probably something well worth explicitly pointing out to people every so often, but 'nature prepares' is still rubbish and Taleb would've had a more solid critique of Greenspan's choices had he stuck to arguments with a basis in reality. (this sort of thing continues to restrict how much Taleb I can consume at once before needing to take a week or two for the annoyance to fade - I often feel like there's room in the world for a "Taleb: The Good Parts" where somebody else trudges through the stupid bits to extract the useful insights)