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I don't think it's quite that 'settled' (although, comically, I made my own [much worse] overstatement in a comment this morning). But, the landscape is certai

I don't think it's quite that 'settled' (although, comically, I made my own [much worse] overstatement in a comment this morning). But, the landscape is certainly a LOT less friendly, at this point. Threads has obviously sucked the oxygen completely out of the room, so to speak, for the moment. Bluesky is likely consigned to a much more niche position, and may have difficulty surviving. While I think your conclusion is a bit strong at the moment, within 1 - 3 months, it'll probably be far clearer. In particular, depending on how Threads is actually functioning ... if "Meta" plays it smart (and they do seem to be doing a surprisingly clever job, so far) in catering (enough) to users for that initial buy-in ... (the classic "first hit is free" of drug dealers everywhere [though, I don't consider these platforms to be straight-up just person-wrecking drugs, that use-case does hold across plenty of the population, I'd argue])...

threeseed 3y ago
I think it's pretty clear now. Threads is the fastest growing social network and app in history and by now has ~100m users. Network effects will take care of the rest.
- agentgumshoe 3y ago
  Amazing what having a billion+ users already with a logon/ID can do for uptake! I'm wondering whether it'll be Apple or Meta that becomes Zetatech...
  - charcircuit 3y ago
    If you made a new social app that doesn't require an account you would not just get 100 million people to install it. Being able to sign in to an existing account isn't what caused the uptake.
    - agentgumshoe 3y ago
      You ignored the bit where I said 'billion+ existing users'. Not exactly 100mil new random users with that install base.
      - charcircuit 3y ago
        But it isn't relevant. I could say that email has a billion+ existing users with an account that an app could utilize, but adding email signup to a hypothetical app doesn't just get you a ton of users.

threeseed 3y ago

I think it's pretty clear now. Threads is the fastest growing social network and app in history and by now has ~100m users. Network effects will take care of the rest.

agentgumshoe 3y ago
Amazing what having a billion+ users already with a logon/ID can do for uptake! I'm wondering whether it'll be Apple or Meta that becomes Zetatech...
- charcircuit 3y ago
  If you made a new social app that doesn't require an account you would not just get 100 million people to install it. Being able to sign in to an existing account isn't what caused the uptake.
  - agentgumshoe 3y ago
    You ignored the bit where I said 'billion+ existing users'. Not exactly 100mil new random users with that install base.
    - charcircuit 3y ago
      But it isn't relevant. I could say that email has a billion+ existing users with an account that an app could utilize, but adding email signup to a hypothetical app doesn't just get you a ton of users.