3 ms·
For probabilities, use Fermi numbers, not words
- WantonQuantum 3y agoThe intro says ‘Don’t use phrases like “unlikely” or “almost certainly.” Here’s real-world data showing why not, and what to do instead.’ but the article doesn’t deliver on that. There is some real world data presented but it doesn’t support the claim that accepting the article’s recommendation leads to better outcomes in any real world activity.