5 ms·

The lunch is ate.

by xwdv 3y ago

The lunch is ate.

afavour 3y ago
IMO the jury is still out. Twitter was always more than just a UI format, Twitter-shaped text posts with my Instagram friends doesn’t scratch the same itch.
- threeseed 3y ago
  Threads had 48m users in a day which already includes the most popular influencers, journalists etc. There just isn't enough room in this market for contributors to post on this many text-based apps. And so consolidation will happen. 1) Threads will dominate. Mastodon will be like remora fish. 2) Twitter will be the home for "freedom of speech", Crypto bros, OnlyFans girls. 3) Truth Social, Gab, Post, Blueksy, Spoutible etc will die.
  - afavour 3y ago
    > Threads had 48m users in a day Let’s see how many stick around. Don’t get me wrong, I suspect you’re right. But given the promotion and ease of login I’m not at all surprised to see huge day one login numbers. The question is whether people like what they see enough to stick around.
    - delecti 3y ago
      I'm certainly not sticking around. I signed up, pulled over my follow list from IG, muted a bunch of brand accounts I didn't follow, realized the feed was 100% algorithmic, and haven't launched it again since.
  - pretendgeneer 3y ago
    Facebook has never lied about numbers as a way to kill off competitors. So There's no reason to think their reported numbers aren't perfectly correct.
  - saagarjha 3y ago
    > Threads had 48m users in a day which already includes the most popular influencers, journalists etc. Being able to migrate existing accounts in seconds tends to do that. Let’s see how many stick around.
    - foogazi 3y ago
      > Being able to migrate existing accounts in seconds tends to do that. Let’s see how many stick around. You discount Threads user going the “easy” route, but think they will somehow go the “hard” way ?
  - housemusicfan 3y ago
    > Threads had 48m users in a day Threads had 48m users just like that U2 album[1] sold 500m copies on iTunes. [1] https://www.eonline.com/news/1071481/remember-when-apple-forced-a-u2-album-on-us-all https://www.eonline.com/news/1071481/remember-when-apple-for...
    - batiudrami 3y ago
      To sign up you need to choose to download the app and click sign up (it isn’t automatic from using your Instagram) so while integrating it with Insta gives it an easy leg up I don’t really see your comparison.
- rhaway84773 3y ago
  Even if Threads is crap, it’s pretty obvious it’s gonna steal all of Twitter’s advertisers the moment they start showing ads, because the ad money generating users are moving onto Threads. Heck, Threads doesn’t even need to show ads and the displacement of ad money away from Twitter will benefit Meta as much of that Twitter ad money will get redirected to Meta properties like FB and IG instead.
  - lapcat 3y ago
    FWIW (not much) Zuck said they don't intend to monetize Threads until there's "a clear path to 1 billion people" https://www.threads.net/t/CuW5-eWL34x https://www.threads.net/t/CuW5-eWL34x That seems kind of strange to me, though, because 1 billion is more than 3x the entire Twitter user base.
    - chupchap 3y ago
      > path to 1 billion people Also Insta has 1bn+ active MAUs and Meta us leaning heavily on Insta for Threads
      - lapcat 3y ago
        Sure, but those 1 billion people could have signed up for Twitter at any point in the last 17 years if they were interested. Twitter already maxed out its user base, so I'm skeptical that there's a 1 billion potential here.
        mmiyer 3y ago
        Personally I signed up for threads and have been liking using it so far even though I never really used twitter. I think it has lower startup cost than Twitter because the algorithmic feed really works well without having to manually follow a lot of people. So I think there is reason for Zuck to dream big.
        lapcat 3y ago

The lunch is ate.

by xwdv 3y ago

The lunch is ate.

IMO the jury is still out. Twitter was always more than just a UI format, Twitter-shaped text posts with my Instagram friends doesn’t scratch the same itch.

threeseed 3y ago
Threads had 48m users in a day which already includes the most popular influencers, journalists etc. There just isn't enough room in this market for contributors to post on this many text-based apps. And so consolidation will happen. 1) Threads will dominate. Mastodon will be like remora fish. 2) Twitter will be the home for "freedom of speech", Crypto bros, OnlyFans girls. 3) Truth Social, Gab, Post, Blueksy, Spoutible etc will die.
- afavour 3y ago
  > Threads had 48m users in a day Let’s see how many stick around. Don’t get me wrong, I suspect you’re right. But given the promotion and ease of login I’m not at all surprised to see huge day one login numbers. The question is whether people like what they see enough to stick around.
  - delecti 3y ago
    I'm certainly not sticking around. I signed up, pulled over my follow list from IG, muted a bunch of brand accounts I didn't follow, realized the feed was 100% algorithmic, and haven't launched it again since.
- pretendgeneer 3y ago
  Facebook has never lied about numbers as a way to kill off competitors. So There's no reason to think their reported numbers aren't perfectly correct.
- saagarjha 3y ago
  > Threads had 48m users in a day which already includes the most popular influencers, journalists etc. Being able to migrate existing accounts in seconds tends to do that. Let’s see how many stick around.
  - foogazi 3y ago
    > Being able to migrate existing accounts in seconds tends to do that. Let’s see how many stick around. You discount Threads user going the “easy” route, but think they will somehow go the “hard” way ?
- housemusicfan 3y ago
  > Threads had 48m users in a day Threads had 48m users just like that U2 album[1] sold 500m copies on iTunes. [1] https://www.eonline.com/news/1071481/remember-when-apple-forced-a-u2-album-on-us-all https://www.eonline.com/news/1071481/remember-when-apple-for...
  - batiudrami 3y ago
    To sign up you need to choose to download the app and click sign up (it isn’t automatic from using your Instagram) so while integrating it with Insta gives it an easy leg up I don’t really see your comparison.
rhaway84773 3y ago
Even if Threads is crap, it’s pretty obvious it’s gonna steal all of Twitter’s advertisers the moment they start showing ads, because the ad money generating users are moving onto Threads. Heck, Threads doesn’t even need to show ads and the displacement of ad money away from Twitter will benefit Meta as much of that Twitter ad money will get redirected to Meta properties like FB and IG instead.
- lapcat 3y ago
  FWIW (not much) Zuck said they don't intend to monetize Threads until there's "a clear path to 1 billion people" https://www.threads.net/t/CuW5-eWL34x https://www.threads.net/t/CuW5-eWL34x That seems kind of strange to me, though, because 1 billion is more than 3x the entire Twitter user base.
  - chupchap 3y ago
    > path to 1 billion people Also Insta has 1bn+ active MAUs and Meta us leaning heavily on Insta for Threads
    - lapcat 3y ago
      Sure, but those 1 billion people could have signed up for Twitter at any point in the last 17 years if they were interested. Twitter already maxed out its user base, so I'm skeptical that there's a 1 billion potential here.
      - mmiyer 3y ago
        Personally I signed up for threads and have been liking using it so far even though I never really used twitter. I think it has lower startup cost than Twitter because the algorithmic feed really works well without having to manually follow a lot of people. So I think there is reason for Zuck to dream big.
        lapcat 3y ago