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For curiosity's sake I wanted to estimate the probability of getting to the front page with a show hn. The easy but terrible way is to just look at a few new sh

• Aachen 3y ago
  #3 currently has 25 points, #8 has 14, and #12 has 9 points. Not sure that 50 points is a good measure of whether it has been on the front page. What does that mean anyway, does being on #25 for three minutes count?
  • acover 3y ago
    You are right "on the front page" is not a good question. The question I wanted to answer is "succeeded in getting significant attention". 50 votes is arbitrary but represents about 5000 views and often means there was some discussion.
    • SoftTalker 3y ago
      So typically, 1% of readers will vote on a post? It would not surprise me. I occasionally vote on comments, but almost never vote on posts.
      • acover 3y ago
        It's just a rule of thumb and varies alot between communities. https://old.reddit.com/r/TheoryOfReddit/comments/1fd2tu/data_showing_the_relationship_between_a_posts/ https://old.reddit.com/r/TheoryOfReddit/comments/1fd2tu/data...
• wahahah 3y ago
  You just (poorly) measured the same thing the article did. I'm still curious to know what % of Show HNs make the front page.
• itunpredictable 3y ago
  This is the analysis I wanted to do, but for the entire group of categories would have been time prohibitive (it's easy for ShowHN because that is filterable). Interesting results here