4 ms·
As it might be quite common among the HN crowd, Douglas is my hero - I have read three of his books. First of all, hats off to him for his extraordinary displa
by vemv 3y ago
As it might be quite common among the HN crowd, Douglas is my hero - I have read three of his books.
First of all, hats off to him for his extraordinary display of humility in this interview. People rarely change their minds publicly, let alone hint that they no longer believe in their own past work.
However, I'm genuinely surprised that he, of all people, does sees intelligence in GPT-4 output.
I think humans are just very eager to ascribe intelligence, or personality, to a bunch of text. A text may say "I feel <blah>" and that text can easily manage to permeate through our subconsciousness. And we end up believing that that "I" is, in fact, an "I"!
We have to actively guard against this ascription. It takes a constant self-micromanaging, which isn't a natural thing to do.
Ideally, we would have some objetive measurements (benchmarks) of intelligence. Our own impressions can be too easily fooled.
I know defining (let alone measuring) intelligence is no easy task, but in absence of a convincing benchmark, I will not give credit to new claims around AI. Else it's all hype and speculation.
- hyperthesis 3y agoHe's just saying it's more like an "I" than his pharmacy-bot example. His concern is the future: what seemed "far off" now possibly might be in 5 years.