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I think they are used to that these fields progress relatively slowly. Also there are some things these systems already know that they though would come much la
by nadam 3y ago
I think they are used to that these fields progress relatively slowly. Also there are some things these systems already know that they though would come much later. Hofstadter even says this in the interview. In the 90s, early 2000s I also thought that AGI will come one day, but it will take centuries. Nowadays I think it can be just decades. The progress is very fast compared to my old worldview. I don't think they are mislead at all. I don't think they mischaracterize the current capabalities of these systems. They just think that if progress is this fast (compared to their previous estimates), AGI can come soon, where soon is 5-10-20 years. Younger guys, who are more used to the state of the art, and did not live when things currently possible seemed far far away are less impressed.