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> That's absolute food security in terms of calories. No. Despite its domestic production, China has been a net importer [DOC] of agricultural products since

> That's absolute food security in terms of calories. No. Despite its domestic production, China has been a net importer [DOC] of agricultural products since 2004. Today, it imports more of these products—including soybeans, corn, wheat, rice, and dairy products—than any other country. Between 2000 and 2020, the country’s food self-sufficiency ratio decreased from 93.6 percent to 65.8 percent. https://www.cfr.org/article/china-increasingly-relies-imported-food-thats-problem https://www.cfr.org/article/china-increasingly-relies-import... > On PRC political instutions, they're fine/great. No. China’s economic freedom score is 48.3, making its economy the 154th freest in the 2023 Index. https://www.heritage.org/index/country/china https://www.heritage.org/index/country/china China’s authoritarian regime has become increasingly repressive in recent years. The ruling Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is tightening its control over the state bureaucracy, the media, online speech, religious groups, universities, businesses, and civil society associations, and it has undermined its own already modest rule-of-law reforms. Score: 9/100. https://freedomhouse.org/country/china/freedom-world/2021 https://freedomhouse.org/country/china/freedom-world/2021

dirtyid 3y ago
Absolute food security = producing enough calories per capita indigenously to feed everyone. Which PRC does, ~4000 calories per day factoring in massive waste/spoilage in logistics system. So Yes. SSR is indication of PRC getting richer and importing more luxury foods, but that's not part of absolute food security. Quoting freedom index, from heritage and freedhomhouse no less as proxy for state capacity is more asinine than using Zeihan stats and deserves even less of an effort response.
- frankreyes 3y ago
  None of your comments are backed up with data or evidence. Just like Ray Dalio, wishful thinking.
  - dirtyid 3y ago
    My assertions and datapoints are all public info - it's basic subject matter knowledge for those who follow the space closely and realize actual data/trends horribly dismantles Zeihan's model that's mainly used to sell lectures and dinners to American exceptionalists. Again there's a reason he doesn't get airtime in "serious" think tank circles. At least Dalio, puts money where his mouth is vs Zeihan. And it's a little rich to point out wishful thinking on Dalio considering Zeihan's Stratfor/Friedman background that has been consistently wrong about East Asia.

dirtyid 3y ago

Absolute food security = producing enough calories per capita indigenously to feed everyone. Which PRC does, ~4000 calories per day factoring in massive waste/spoilage in logistics system. So Yes. SSR is indication of PRC getting richer and importing more luxury foods, but that's not part of absolute food security. Quoting freedom index, from heritage and freedhomhouse no less as proxy for state capacity is more asinine than using Zeihan stats and deserves even less of an effort response.

frankreyes 3y ago
None of your comments are backed up with data or evidence. Just like Ray Dalio, wishful thinking.
- dirtyid 3y ago
  My assertions and datapoints are all public info - it's basic subject matter knowledge for those who follow the space closely and realize actual data/trends horribly dismantles Zeihan's model that's mainly used to sell lectures and dinners to American exceptionalists. Again there's a reason he doesn't get airtime in "serious" think tank circles. At least Dalio, puts money where his mouth is vs Zeihan. And it's a little rich to point out wishful thinking on Dalio considering Zeihan's Stratfor/Friedman background that has been consistently wrong about East Asia.