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The silly part of this is that the industries he compares software to - music, television, movies - have all been skeletonized and reduced to minimal and repeat
by awkward 3y ago
The silly part of this is that the industries he compares software to - music, television, movies - have all been skeletonized and reduced to minimal and repeatable products. Simply looking out the door should be enough to convince you that if you want to bring back the magic, asking to be treated like a television writer isn't the way.
Right now the biggest thing bringing down developer wages is the threat of being replaced with an LLM. That's not going to work out in the long run - giving developers productivity increasing tools isn't going to lessen their value. However, it's the most plausible wage suppression hustle for quite some time.
Until the limits of LLM generation get tested and felt, the downward pressure on wages is going to continue. Maybe when the first wave of LLM driven startups feel the pain of maintaining code that doesn't have an author, or maybe high profile malicious training data attacks will do it. Even afterwards, the effects of the wage curve being bent downward for a couple years are still going to be there.
- EddieJLSH 3y agoJust look at the success of the Superhero franchises in Hollywood
- srpablo 3y agoAuthor here. Well, sure, but to the contrary: DC has had a much harder time imitating Marvel's success, even with great IP. Universal tried to create the "Dark Universe." And even Marvel is having trouble cranking out the hits with the middling success of Ant-Man Quantumania, Thor: Love and Thunder, and Wakanda Forever. I suspect making these things more streamlined and more of a flat cultural paste through the Disney Machine is a part of the lower outcomes.
- awkward 3y agoI think if we want to talk about the actual value of messy human processes, you're on the nose. The problem is that large, entrenched industries can function using a distorted, rationalized model for a lot longer than any of us can afford to just wait around.
- jdrckflr 3y ago> The silly part of this is that the industries he compares software to - music, television, movies - have all been skeletonized and reduced to minimal and repeatable products. Simply looking out the door should be enough to convince you that if you want to bring back the magic, asking to be treated like a television writer isn't the way. not really sure if this is helpful, but i see this take way too often on here. i’m convinced people who say this about the film and media industry don’t go out of their way to find good movies and listen to good music because the amount of high quality, hard to find stuff being made today is honestly amazing.
- awkward 3y agoThe spirit of human creativity is unstoppable and always building off itself. I’d just like to see a world where instead of being hard to find, creating the good stuff pays the rent.
- achenet 3y agohttps://kk.org/thetechnium/1000-true-fans/ https://kk.org/thetechnium/1000-true-fans/ it's possible in theory
- sheepybloke 3y agoI would argue it's not even that hard to find anymore. It's just the user taking the time to do some research and trying things out.
- otabdeveloper4 3y agoNobody has yet shipped a product with LLM code. Lay off the futurology.