Just sounds like pure survivorship bias to me. I think you are using it in the exactly opposite way. "Crazy innovator succeeds and makes it rich! Future innova

Just sounds like pure survivorship bias to me. I think you are using it in the exactly opposite way. "Crazy innovator succeeds and makes it rich! Future innovators don't need to listen to experts!" is the "survivor" in this situation. The number of "innovators" to failed/died/etc will be much higher than the ones who are successful.