> My null hypothesis is that they are smart, competent people and are doing the best decision according to data they are seeing. That's precisely the problem.

> My null hypothesis is that they are smart, competent people and are doing the best decision according to data they are seeing. That's precisely the problem. The decision makers suffer from extreme confirmation bias and Dunning-Kruger effect. So what happens is they run surveys, polls etc which are loaded and indicate that employees would 'love' to return to the office. They mandate RTO and are then surprised when people leave en masse because the data they've collected is wrong.