4 ms·
There's a case for adding some weighting by flight hours/km as the widebody flights are on average longer, but it's less clear what that should be, especially w
by notahacker 3y ago
There's a case for adding some weighting by flight hours/km as the widebody flights are on average longer, but it's less clear what that should be, especially with most of the accident risk being takeoff or landing. On the other hand, the displayed safety record of the 747-400 is exceptionally good. Much of the widebody/narrowbody distinction is just statistical noise (as others have pointed out, a third of the 777 accidents are a single flight being hit by a missile, and another third a suspected suicide) and widebodies are less common aircraft so the accident rates are noisier.
ATRs are turboprops that fly a lot into relatively difficult-to-land small airports. Also, the accident rate under-counts the amount of flights they've actually made by more than some of the other aircraft.
- cperciva 3y agoI agree that there should be some mileage weighting; but on the other hand, long distance widebody flights are usually piloted by more experienced crew (they're preferable and flights are typically assigned by seniority). It would be interesting to see statistics for maydays as well; most shorthaul flights have the advantage of having nearby airports for their entire route.
- chiefalchemist 3y agoAlong the same lines, I'd like to see the number of planes per model. Are more planes flying less vs less planes flying more. Also, is there a sweet spot in manufacturing? Too few or too many?