4 ms·
AGI by 2040 huh. I bet it won’t happen by 2100, and I’m young enough that I can look back on this at 2040 and see how wrong/ correct I was. Future me, don’t for
by sashank_1509 3y ago
AGI by 2040 huh. I bet it won’t happen by 2100, and I’m young enough that I can look back on this at 2040 and see how wrong/ correct I was. Future me, don’t forget!
- kenjackson 3y agoDepending on who you ask, we will never have it or we have it already. We never had a perfect definition of AGI, but I feel like now the definition has become so murky to be useless.
- avionical 3y agoTrue, though clearing up some of the murkiness is part of what forecast questions like these are for, with their explicitly spelled out resolution criteria.
- sashank_1509 3y agoMy definition would AGI as an AI embodied in a human robot that can do all the physical and cognitive tasks a regular human can, for example I would assume 90% of humans can be an Uber driver, and so the AGI system should be capable of being an Uber Driver. While perhaps only 5% can be a theoretical physicist or a professional tennis player, so I wouldn’t expect my AGI to be capable of that
- shaunxcode 3y agoYeah I feel like people have turned the definition of AGI into what we previously called omnipotence.
- alach11 3y agoOP in 2040: "It's not AGI because it doesn't have a soul."
- __loam 3y agoMurky definitions help with the marketing hype.
- ChatGTP 3y agoI kind of wonder if we'll just evolve past the fascination of it, like maybe the problems we need to solve will become so much easier through ML algorithms, we'll just get past it all without the "G" in AGI and become distracted with new things and leave behind being fascinating with computers and chat bots in general. and I know this sounds wild to some, even unthinkable, but I can't imagine people sitting around in 2000 years talking about "computers". We might even get past the idea of needing "computing" as we find new ways of achieving our goals. I mean who knows, maybe we'll learn to augment our own intelligence through biohacking? Right now it feels like AI is the actual be all and end all of everything, but I like to experiment with think about what's over the horizon.
- namaria 3y agoSome day people will realize that intelligent automaton is an oxymoron. Something designed and built will always operate on rails devised by their creator. Intelligence means the ability of being the creator. Interestingly, genesis myths usually say god(s) made humans in their image. It's a metaphor for reproduction. We create intelligent beings all the time.