3 ms·
> A recent report from the doe suggests that America could triple its nuclear-power generation, to 300 gigawatts, by 2050 I need to see this report because as
by epistasis 3y ago
> A recent report from the doe suggests that America could triple its nuclear-power generation, to 300 gigawatts, by 2050
I need to see this report because as phrased it comes across as a joke. Which is not unexpected from the DOE, which has shown not so great ability to predict the future. But still...
Assuming we start in 2030, the first time we expect a new SMR to hit the grid (and quite optimistically), we need to build an additional 100GW to replace retiring current nuclear for a total of 400GW between 2030 and 2050, or 20GW/year. At 10 years per GW of construction, that's 200GW of sites under construction at any given moment.
These numbers are simply not plausible. We will be adding 100GW/year of new solar car before 2030, at current rates of increase. That's about 20-25GW/year when corrected for capacity factor.
Given the extreme disadvantage that nuclear has on price, the DOE estimating 20 GW/year of new nuclear has to be from someone with rose colored glasses and no concept of pricing or economics.