Want to do analogies, let's do analogies. What if you had a doctor who told you to stop eating ice cream or you were going to die. He keeps making predictions,

Want to do analogies, let's do analogies. What if you had a doctor who told you to stop eating ice cream or you were going to die. He keeps making predictions, you'll have a heart attack in 5 years, you'll get diabetes in 6 years, you'll be dead within the decade. The years pass and his predictions don't come true. Worse yet, you find out that he has a fridge full of Ben and Jerry's at home and publicly supports government funded ice cream socials (wars). At what point would you stop trusting the experts? Keep in mind it's really hot in many parts of the world and their economies could really use some ice cream.