Metaculus has regime change at 16% right now: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10246/russian-coup-or-regime-change-by-2024/ https://www.metaculus.com/questio

Metaculus has regime change at 16% right now: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10246/russian-coup-or-regime-change-by-2024/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10246/russian-coup-or-re...