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This is the same group of people who overhired so much they needed layoffs immediately after. There is no long-term vision here. There is corporate real estate

This is the same group of people who overhired so much they needed layoffs immediately after. There is no long-term vision here. There is corporate real estate and executive hubris and control. They live in entirely different worlds than most of us.

black_13 3y ago
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malfist 3y ago
I think if anything, this shows that CEOs aren't any better at predicting the future than you or I. Dead reckoning seems to be all they do. Things are great? Let's hire like there's no tomorrow that won't be even better. Things are bad? Let's layoff and cut costs like there's no tomorrow that won't be worse.
- JohnFen 3y ago
  Nobody possesses a working crystal ball. Especially not those who think they do.
onlyrealcuzzo 3y ago
They don't care about corporate R/E at all. It's 95% self-preservation by management. Maybe 5% thinking about tax incentives. Time will tell if shareholders reward or punish companies that force RTO. So far they don't seem to care. But this will play a role in whether this trend continues or reverses.
- RhysU 3y ago
  Are there ETFs that allow easily taking either side of the remote-or-not bet on better, long-term shareholder value?
- mjr00 3y ago
  > They don't care about corporate R/E at all. Yeah, the meme about an evil conspiracy of corporate CEOs also owning commercial real estate is really, really dumb. Maybe you could theorize that when Andy Jassy and Tim Cook were the only people pushing for RTO, but now more and more companies are doing it, and I assure you that the CEO of (insert random 100-person tech company here) doesn't have deep investments in commercial real estate. Occam's razor: the simple fact is management thinks that people are more productive when in the office. They may be wrong about that, of course. But if the question is "why is management pushing for RTO," it's simply because they believe their teams will produce more and better output while in the office.
  - onlyrealcuzzo 3y ago
    > But if the question is "why is management pushing for RTO," it's simply because they believe their teams will produce more and better output while in the office. I strongly disagree. Managers don't care how productive their teams are. They care about keeping their jobs. They care about hiring more people and building an empire and climbing the career ladder. If your team is more productive working in Hawaii, but you'll lose your job, you're not going to recommend they work from Hawaii. You're going to recommend they be less productive and you keep your job. The same way if your team doesn't need any more people, you're going to fight to get more people, because you don't care about the company, you care about climbing the ladder. Of course, they don't see it like this. > It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it.
    - RestlessMind 3y ago
      > Managers don't care how productive their teams are. They care about keeping their jobs. They care about hiring more people and building an empire and climbing the career ladder. All true > If your team is more productive working in Hawaii, but you'll lose your job, you're not going to recommend they work from Hawaii. Huh? I don't see why a team being in Hawaii would lead the manager to lose their job. You still need management in a fully remote setting.

black_13 3y ago

[dead]

malfist 3y ago

I think if anything, this shows that CEOs aren't any better at predicting the future than you or I. Dead reckoning seems to be all they do. Things are great? Let's hire like there's no tomorrow that won't be even better. Things are bad? Let's layoff and cut costs like there's no tomorrow that won't be worse.

JohnFen 3y ago
Nobody possesses a working crystal ball. Especially not those who think they do.

onlyrealcuzzo 3y ago

They don't care about corporate R/E at all. It's 95% self-preservation by management. Maybe 5% thinking about tax incentives. Time will tell if shareholders reward or punish companies that force RTO. So far they don't seem to care. But this will play a role in whether this trend continues or reverses.

RhysU 3y ago
Are there ETFs that allow easily taking either side of the remote-or-not bet on better, long-term shareholder value?
mjr00 3y ago
> They don't care about corporate R/E at all. Yeah, the meme about an evil conspiracy of corporate CEOs also owning commercial real estate is really, really dumb. Maybe you could theorize that when Andy Jassy and Tim Cook were the only people pushing for RTO, but now more and more companies are doing it, and I assure you that the CEO of (insert random 100-person tech company here) doesn't have deep investments in commercial real estate. Occam's razor: the simple fact is management thinks that people are more productive when in the office. They may be wrong about that, of course. But if the question is "why is management pushing for RTO," it's simply because they believe their teams will produce more and better output while in the office.
- onlyrealcuzzo 3y ago
  > But if the question is "why is management pushing for RTO," it's simply because they believe their teams will produce more and better output while in the office. I strongly disagree. Managers don't care how productive their teams are. They care about keeping their jobs. They care about hiring more people and building an empire and climbing the career ladder. If your team is more productive working in Hawaii, but you'll lose your job, you're not going to recommend they work from Hawaii. You're going to recommend they be less productive and you keep your job. The same way if your team doesn't need any more people, you're going to fight to get more people, because you don't care about the company, you care about climbing the ladder. Of course, they don't see it like this. > It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it.
  - RestlessMind 3y ago
    > Managers don't care how productive their teams are. They care about keeping their jobs. They care about hiring more people and building an empire and climbing the career ladder. All true > If your team is more productive working in Hawaii, but you'll lose your job, you're not going to recommend they work from Hawaii. Huh? I don't see why a team being in Hawaii would lead the manager to lose their job. You still need management in a fully remote setting.