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I would be shocked if it takes a year. If a good chunk of people stop adding content the lurkers will stop visiting because they aren’t seeing the novelty they

I would be shocked if it takes a year. If a good chunk of people stop adding content the lurkers will stop visiting because they aren’t seeing the novelty they are looking for.

lamontcg 3y ago
I feel like you're both not appreciating the level with which botting, AI and PR shills/astroturfing can make up for the power users. The content will suffer in ways that will turn all of us here off, but the content already has suffered and the main forums (most of the ad dollars probably) are full of reposts and inane comments. Reddit can just keep their Eternal September going on for a long time on endlessly recycled content that most of the users still haven't seen due to xkcd/1053 (Ten Thousand). There's going to have to be a viable alternative emerge to really defeat reddit, otherwise it is just the only real game in town, and most of the people actually will be happy to use it. I think that "imminent collapse" predictions of a stark failure of reddit in a year or two are probably off the mark, and the most likely outcome is going to be continued and accelerating "enshittification". My bet is the analogy is probably more like the Discovery Channel and less like Digg. Of course at some point with all the discontent there will probably be a new social network that emerges and attracts everyone and at some point reddit will likely hit a hard stop, but I think that's more of a 5-10 year timescale since there's currently no good alternative. That doesn't make for a very emotionally appealing story though because the bad guy is probably going to get his IPO and walk away quite wealthy. But that is our system of Capitalism for you. [ Oh, and the 2024 election is just around the corner and reddit is likely to turn into a battleground again and that will drive both engagement and shilling/astroturfing like mad, which will all be good for profits and some nice numbers for the IPO ]
- Justsignedup 3y ago
  I don't know if you're gonna be right or not, but I think that so far we've seen the CEO "bad buy" pretty much always win. So I don't expect this to be different. People like him know one thing, how to turn a short term profit by fucking shit up.

I would be shocked if it takes a year. If a good chunk of people stop adding content the lurkers will stop visiting because they aren’t seeing the novelty they are looking for.

lamontcg 3y ago

I feel like you're both not appreciating the level with which botting, AI and PR shills/astroturfing can make up for the power users. The content will suffer in ways that will turn all of us here off, but the content already has suffered and the main forums (most of the ad dollars probably) are full of reposts and inane comments. Reddit can just keep their Eternal September going on for a long time on endlessly recycled content that most of the users still haven't seen due to xkcd/1053 (Ten Thousand). There's going to have to be a viable alternative emerge to really defeat reddit, otherwise it is just the only real game in town, and most of the people actually will be happy to use it. I think that "imminent collapse" predictions of a stark failure of reddit in a year or two are probably off the mark, and the most likely outcome is going to be continued and accelerating "enshittification". My bet is the analogy is probably more like the Discovery Channel and less like Digg. Of course at some point with all the discontent there will probably be a new social network that emerges and attracts everyone and at some point reddit will likely hit a hard stop, but I think that's more of a 5-10 year timescale since there's currently no good alternative. That doesn't make for a very emotionally appealing story though because the bad guy is probably going to get his IPO and walk away quite wealthy. But that is our system of Capitalism for you. [ Oh, and the 2024 election is just around the corner and reddit is likely to turn into a battleground again and that will drive both engagement and shilling/astroturfing like mad, which will all be good for profits and some nice numbers for the IPO ]

Justsignedup 3y ago
I don't know if you're gonna be right or not, but I think that so far we've seen the CEO "bad buy" pretty much always win. So I don't expect this to be different. People like him know one thing, how to turn a short term profit by fucking shit up.