5 ms·

1870, 2010, 2023, ????

• _ea1k 3y ago
  1870, 2010, 2023, 2146, ????
  • runarberg 3y ago
    So what is you point here? That warming planet is not likely to increase the rate of New York suffering smokes? Honestly this would put New York in a pretty special place as forest fires are set to increase a lot, and smokes are expected to distribute in higher density to wider areas. This is pretty observable on the West Coast already, where we have a brand new Smoke Season in the early to late autumn in the Pacific North West. But realistically New York will not be this lucky, and the chances of the next smokes coming as distantly apart as per-industrialization is probably close to 0. I’m not a climate scientist but I bet we will for sure see several more smokes coming to New York before the end of the century (just like we have on the West Coast in the past 5 years).
    • _ea1k 3y ago
      My point is that sequences like that are insufficient to draw conclusions.
      • runarberg 3y ago
        Maybe so, but I don’t think your parent was drawing any conclusions, just pointing out the very likely scenario that these smokes will happen with increased frequency, or at least, that’s how I understood it.