3 ms·

I think software projects are best estimated as gamma distributions. To express that as confidence levels, you use the cumulative distribution function of the g

I think software projects are best estimated as gamma distributions. To express that as confidence levels, you use the cumulative distribution function of the gamma, which are kind of S shaped, but stretched to the right. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamma_distribution https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamma_distribution

trashtester 3y ago
For instance, if you have a task that you cannot imagine taking less than 50 days, the actual time can follow the following distribution: https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=gamma+distribution+with+shape+7+and+scale+50 https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=gamma+distribution+with... And the confidence distribution would be: https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=cumulative+gamma+distribution+with+shape+7+and+scale+50 https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=cumulative+gamma+distri...