Yea what you are doing sounds like reference class forecasting (shameless plug, a blog post I wrote about it) https://www.dquach.com/2023/04/21/reference-class

Yea what you are doing sounds like reference class forecasting (shameless plug, a blog post I wrote about it) https://www.dquach.com/2023/04/21/reference-class-forecasting/ https://www.dquach.com/2023/04/21/reference-class-forecastin...