Funny fact. When I was a relatively new programmer, we used to be told we had to become better at estimating, like architects are on construction projects. Th

Funny fact. When I was a relatively new programmer, we used to be told we had to become better at estimating, like architects are on construction projects. Then it became common knowledge that architects are as bad as we are at estimating costs. And people no longer use that comparison. The fields that are actually able to estimate work well tend to have one big advantage. They are estimating how to do standardized tasks that are similar to ones that they have done many times before. Ones that don't have that advantage, are as bad as we are.