3 ms·
This is what happens when someone goes for the Bayesian approach with an incomplete surface level analysis. Arguments are formed with incorrect premises, result
by stevenhuang 3y ago
This is what happens when someone goes for the Bayesian approach with an incomplete surface level analysis. Arguments are formed with incorrect premises, resulting in confidently wrong conclusions.
> We now know that Roswell was a government coverup
With this we see the author is uninformed and has not properly accounted for, or perhaps even unaware of, the period of concerted government disinformation surrounding this topic since the 70s, proven by the modus operandi of project bluebook and testimonies of the project coordinator, J. Allen Hynek.
I caution those new to this topic that you are about to wade through an epistemic minefield. You must reserve judgement on current events until you understand the full history or you will lack the necessary context for an informed opinion.
I've researched this topic intensely for years, analyzing all sides of debate.
I'm telling you all that even prior last week of recent whistleblower testimonies that there is enough circumstantial evidence in public domain to lend genuine merit to the UAP hypothesis.
Now with the testimonies set in motion, the dam has broken and official disclosure is soon to be upon us.
For those that want to genuinely understand, start here with this expose on project bluebook
https://youtu.be/QXXeVdMNzmY https://youtu.be/QXXeVdMNzmY