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It's not that strange if you take into account the law of accelerated returns, that suggests that change itself happens at an ever faster pace. PC's used to be
by nextparadigms 15y ago
It's not that strange if you take into account the law of accelerated returns, that suggests that change itself happens at an ever faster pace. PC's used to be changed at 3-5 years, laptops at 2-3 years, and now smartphones and tablets at 1-2 years.
- 6ren 15y agoThe singularity is near says this, but it seems that the rate of Moore's Law has been pretty constant (cost version: x2 performance/price every 18 months). When Ray extends this back to discrete transistors, vacuum tubes, relays, and mechanics, there's a case for an acceleration in rate - but not within silicon. If hardware is updated at different rates in different categories, I think it's due to factors specific to that category. Counter-example: the update rate for game consoles is much slower now than it was previously.