14 ms·

I lost all faith in Flyvbjerg in the 90's when he published his doctoral thesis. It was published as two volumes, one of them being a philosophical background.

I lost all faith in Flyvbjerg in the 90's when he published his doctoral thesis. It was published as two volumes, one of them being a philosophical background. That volume was 1) mostly cribbed from the Dreyfus brothers (Hubert and Stuart) and 2) contained many very dodgy quotes from Aristotle. He had used '[...]' more liberally than any other author I've ever come across. The quotes ended up being like the Homer Simpson's interview from S06E09: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SqDP8SnPVA0 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SqDP8SnPVA0

AlbertCory 3y ago
Hmm. The book doesn't have that, I don't think. It's pretty readable. On the other hand, he does have some association with Oxford, which is selling a "course" on how to apply his methods of project estimation. I wouldn't waste my money on the course, but I think the method of "look at similar projects, and take the average" is a much better algorithm than the bottom-up Gantt chart that everyone does. Shit happens, no one thinks it'll happen to them but it does, and the historical data includes all the Black Swan events that no one saw coming.