3 ms·
> I would not assume the OECD methodology does not take account of the aging. And here you would assume very wrong. OECD does indeed estimate excess mortality
by sampo 3y ago
> I would not assume the OECD methodology does not take account of the aging.
And here you would assume very wrong.
OECD does indeed estimate excess mortality simply by comparing to the 2015-2019 averages:
"The expected number of deaths is based on the average number of deaths for the same week over recent years (in this case the previous five years, 2015-19). This baseline could be considered a lower estimate of the expected number of deaths since both population growth and an ageing population would be expected to push up the number of deaths observed each year."
"Importantly, given the impact of COVID-19 to the overall number of weekly deaths in 2020, the
average deaths for the period 2015-2019 continues to be used to calculate excess deaths in 2021,
and still applies as the base for 2022 and 2023 excess deaths."
From their: Methodology_All-cause-Excess-and-COVID-19-deaths_OECD.pdf
Which you can find from https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?queryid=104676 https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?queryid=104676 when you try to find their notes for methodology.