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What's great is, if in 2023 we can buy approximately 60 PPD for $3500, imagine what we'll be able to buy in 2030 for a similar or lower price. Even if it turns

What's great is, if in 2023 we can buy approximately 60 PPD for $3500, imagine what we'll be able to buy in 2030 for a similar or lower price. Even if it turns out that 60 PPD is slightly too low, and some people perceive pixels, it doesn't take a very high rate of improvement to reach 90-100 PPD in under a decade, and at that point we as humanity will always be able to enjoy basically perfect no-perceived-pixels VR and AR, which is absolutely amazing. I would certainly like to have a Double robot streaming 8K video to my eyes from other countries. If someone could add smell sensors and smell reproduction, it would almost be like being there. And something like Starlink might eventually make it possible to do the 8K streaming from absolutely anywhere, regardless of local infrastructure, although limiting it to certain wifi-enabled zones would work meanwhile. Now that I think about it, I actually have a business idea to take that even further, but unfortunately it won't make sense for another 10-20 years until this technology becomes more widely used.

dylan604 3y ago
>it doesn't take a very high rate of improvement to reach 90-100 PPD everyone that worked on these for however long it took just reached for their virtual pitch forks and are looking your way
LexGray 3y ago
One of the complaints about remote assistance is the missing olfactory clue needed by remote surgeons and the like. I am sure some company has it in the pipeline, but given how Apple will likely always have their "not meant for medical use" in their TOS it is unlikely to be an Apple priority. Still their accessibility crew may make some noise given the number of people who have lost their sense of smell. With any luck whatever 3D picture/video format is open and includes roving geolocation, compass direction, inclination, smells, humidity, wind speed/direction, light sources, humidity and more. Saving more metadata now should encourage technology to take advantage of it later. The complete lack of cellular/satellite announcement is not too surprising as Apple computers and CarPlay also suffer the same lack. Apple pinches pennies in the weirdest places. There is an opportunity for widespread Vision Pro adoption even at this price point so perhaps get started on the business idea. As a display alone there is high success potential as long as Apple does not feel the need to knee-cap the future of Vision Pro by abandoning the shared display market to others. It has nearly the resolution of a Studio display ($1599 at 14.5 million px vs $3500 at 11.5 million px/eye) and can emulate multiple monitors at once. Apple will want to control the experience, but personally I am hoping they quickly jump to WiFi 7 and become the central home hub for multiple PCs, consoles, and headless/clamshell Macs with multiple desktops each. Desktop PCs and Phones are hardly social to start with so I think people complaining about isolation with AR are overstating their case. I expect most will just take this off like putting down the phone for conversation. Apple has an opportunity to create unique environments, increase personal privacy for all screen based devices, and champion compatibility if they cut back on ego a bit. Here is to hoping they open source some sort of easy pairing/streaming/VR protocol that limits frames/resolution based on attention/distance and the console makers adopt it with Find My in every controller and everyone makes a bundle doing it. One can dream. Eventual Thunderbolt ports for a cellular dongle/fast media backup/head mounted lamp/charging controllers while playing/etc would also be nice if they don't add flashlights and cellular options to future models would be my main current request. The first AirPods were great, yet the original Apple Watch and iPhone were bare bones so I will keep my expectations low. Here is to hoping Apple grabs every opportunity as quickly as possible to increase adoption as the competition will be fierce. As long as they are not too patient with the long game I think even five years should have a good market with a lighter plastic lens no front screen non-pro version for the casual.
- mercutio2 3y ago
  Apple won’t put cellular in anything new until they think their own modems are good enough. Apple had a years-long lawsuit with Qualcomm which, to be extremely reductive, had as its main goal “stop charging us a licensing fee that’s a percentage of the final sale price of the device, you should charge a fixed price per chip”. Apple essentially gave up when they realized Intel was years away from making good enough modems, bought Intel’s modem group, which has been chugging away since then making still-not-good-enough modems.

dylan604 3y ago

>it doesn't take a very high rate of improvement to reach 90-100 PPD everyone that worked on these for however long it took just reached for their virtual pitch forks and are looking your way

LexGray 3y ago

One of the complaints about remote assistance is the missing olfactory clue needed by remote surgeons and the like. I am sure some company has it in the pipeline, but given how Apple will likely always have their "not meant for medical use" in their TOS it is unlikely to be an Apple priority. Still their accessibility crew may make some noise given the number of people who have lost their sense of smell. With any luck whatever 3D picture/video format is open and includes roving geolocation, compass direction, inclination, smells, humidity, wind speed/direction, light sources, humidity and more. Saving more metadata now should encourage technology to take advantage of it later. The complete lack of cellular/satellite announcement is not too surprising as Apple computers and CarPlay also suffer the same lack. Apple pinches pennies in the weirdest places. There is an opportunity for widespread Vision Pro adoption even at this price point so perhaps get started on the business idea. As a display alone there is high success potential as long as Apple does not feel the need to knee-cap the future of Vision Pro by abandoning the shared display market to others. It has nearly the resolution of a Studio display ($1599 at 14.5 million px vs $3500 at 11.5 million px/eye) and can emulate multiple monitors at once. Apple will want to control the experience, but personally I am hoping they quickly jump to WiFi 7 and become the central home hub for multiple PCs, consoles, and headless/clamshell Macs with multiple desktops each. Desktop PCs and Phones are hardly social to start with so I think people complaining about isolation with AR are overstating their case. I expect most will just take this off like putting down the phone for conversation. Apple has an opportunity to create unique environments, increase personal privacy for all screen based devices, and champion compatibility if they cut back on ego a bit. Here is to hoping they open source some sort of easy pairing/streaming/VR protocol that limits frames/resolution based on attention/distance and the console makers adopt it with Find My in every controller and everyone makes a bundle doing it. One can dream. Eventual Thunderbolt ports for a cellular dongle/fast media backup/head mounted lamp/charging controllers while playing/etc would also be nice if they don't add flashlights and cellular options to future models would be my main current request. The first AirPods were great, yet the original Apple Watch and iPhone were bare bones so I will keep my expectations low. Here is to hoping Apple grabs every opportunity as quickly as possible to increase adoption as the competition will be fierce. As long as they are not too patient with the long game I think even five years should have a good market with a lighter plastic lens no front screen non-pro version for the casual.

mercutio2 3y ago
Apple won’t put cellular in anything new until they think their own modems are good enough. Apple had a years-long lawsuit with Qualcomm which, to be extremely reductive, had as its main goal “stop charging us a licensing fee that’s a percentage of the final sale price of the device, you should charge a fixed price per chip”. Apple essentially gave up when they realized Intel was years away from making good enough modems, bought Intel’s modem group, which has been chugging away since then making still-not-good-enough modems.