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The context is I was responding to this post you made >(2021) And I'm not sure if it's posted by someone who still agrees with that conclusion or someone who t
by not_a_shill 3y ago
The context is I was responding to this post you made
>(2021)
And I'm not sure if it's posted by someone who still agrees with that conclusion or someone who think things have moved fast enough in the last couple of years to make it seem silly in retrospect.
So I guess what I really want to know is:
1) what changed within the last two years that would cause an accelerating amount of climate change
2) how confident are we in that answer
3) does that answer provide any predictive power going forward. Ie, should we expect the rate of change to keep increasing or hold steady?
I don't need a link to any studies, I'll take your word for it.
Edit: thanks for the response
- ZeroGravitas 3y ago1) we continue to emit more GHGs than we ever have before every single year. The "good" news in 2023 was that our yearly output didn't rise as much as we feared it would, but it still rose. 2) We're very confident in that answer 3) We hope that this year, we might actually stop increasing the amount of GHG emitted, potentially even outputting slightly less than the year before. If the rollout of renewables, EVs, carbon fees etc. continues as it is then we'll hopefully see this rate fall over time, like the glide paths proposed for net zero 2050. But at the moment it seems like that will lock in centuries of heating, if we don't start global scale GHG removal at some point, on top of complete replacement of fossil fuels, which is a necassary but not sufficient step.