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We need to stop using the term “conspiracy” alone. Instead a conspiracy probability should be associated with every such theory. As a strawman, a conspiracy wh
by osigurdson 3y ago
We need to stop using the term “conspiracy” alone. Instead a conspiracy probability should be associated with every such theory.
As a strawman, a conspiracy which requires 10K people or more to pull it off gets assigned 0.0, while a single person conspiracy is assigned 1.0.
So anytime someone tells you about a conspiracy theory, ask them to estimate the conspiracy factor.
Examples of high conspiracy factor theory’s would be sports with a single, extremely important player (a goalie) for example since only one person needs to be corrupted.
An example of a low conspiracy factor theory would be the Moon landing as 1000s of people would need to be corrupted.
- blowski 3y ago> a single person conspiracy is assigned 1.0 By definition a conspiracy involves more than one person.
- roel_v 3y agoI'd argue that a 'conspiracy factor' of 1 is not a conspiracy, just like a road with an occupancy factor of 0 doesn't have any cars on it, and I presume this was exactly the point of the GP.
- osigurdson 3y agoFair, a conspiracy requiring just two people to pull it off is assigned a conspiracy factor of 1. 10K or more is assigned 0.0. Use it in conjunction with other factors to determine overall probability.