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We can calculate the probability of earth killing asteroids because it happened “frequently” enough to be calculated. Same goes for pandemics, wars, and super v
by baxtr 3y ago
We can calculate the probability of earth killing asteroids because it happened “frequently” enough to be calculated. Same goes for pandemics, wars, and super volcano eruptions.
By this method there is no way to calculate the risk of an AI extinction simply because it never happened before.
- fsflover 3y agohttps://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36147546 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36147546
- baxtr 3y agoThanks. Yes that's exactly my point. Because there is some data on GPT, we can extrapolate its development. But please read my comment again: There is no way that by this method you can deduce a probability for the extinction by AI. It never happened before. It is really that simple. Same goes for a nuclear war scenario.