Oh look, some smart people came up with a model whose output disagrees with other smart people's models, and because such models and their modelers are never ri

Oh look, some smart people came up with a model whose output disagrees with other smart people's models, and because such models and their modelers are never rigorously tested for predictive ability relative to each other in a way that manifests a clear hierarchy, these models are mostly tools of faith based reinforcement rather than methods of empirical analysis.