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People are actively trying to make it happen! This is literally the mission statement of DeepMind, OpenAI, etc. Obviously things that nobody is trying to make
by comp_throw7 3y ago
People are actively trying to make it happen! This is literally the mission statement of DeepMind, OpenAI, etc. Obviously things that nobody is trying to make happen are not likely to happen, and sufficiently difficult things that people are trying to make happen might take a while (e.g. fusion). But AGI is a thing that people are trying to make happen, and are making progress on, and basically nobody predicted in advance the progress that has been made so far.
- AnimalMuppet 3y ago"People are actively trying to make it happen" != "people trying can make it happen". People tried to make alchemy work, too - and they achieved some results along the way! But the foundation was wrong, and therefore all the work was not able to lead to the desired goal. Is something GPT-like the right foundation for AGI? That is very far from proven.
- comp_throw7 3y agoI make no claims about any specific architectures, only that human intelligence isn't anything special and so far we've done a pretty good job at blowing past it in a bunch of domains.