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Source? Every model I’ve seen from scientists is that climate change has a very high probability of killing a minority of people. I’m not acting like that’s a s

Source? Every model I’ve seen from scientists is that climate change has a very high probability of killing a minority of people. I’m not acting like that’s a small amount. “Minority” would be tens of millions, hundreds of millions of people. I think it will be one of the greatest causes of human suffering. But it’s not an existential threat, it’s a different category.

mcguire 3y ago
Look up "Runaway greenhouse effect". Think, "Venus". Is that likely? No. Is that more or less likely than a rogue superintelligent AI? Well, we have one example of the first and none of the second...
- lamontcg 3y ago
  That's at the extreme of unlikely. The carbon that we're digging up was in the atmosphere before, it has just been sequestered, we're returning to a state that the Planet has seen before. Across the entire Earth's history we're still at a fairly cold point and a long way from "Greenhouse Earth" and the temperatures at the Eocene Optimum. And according to the IPCC: "a 'runaway greenhouse effect'—analogous to [that of] Venus—appears to have virtually no chance of being induced by anthropogenic activities"
  - Freebytes 3y ago
    If the Earth warms significantly, we could have a situation where it triggers an ice age. (There are mechanisms for this to happen.) If the surface temperature of the water surface rises to a very high level, we could also have hypercanes.
  - mcguire 3y ago
    More or less unlikely than a superintelligent AI converting all of us into paperclips?