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A bit self-serving but GPU scaling supposedly follows Huang’s Law (from Jensen Huang of Nvidia) which claims GPUs more than double (~1.7x) every 2 years https:

A bit self-serving but GPU scaling supposedly follows Huang’s Law (from Jensen Huang of Nvidia) which claims GPUs more than double (~1.7x) every 2 years https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Huang%27s_law# https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Huang%27s_law#

cubefox 3y ago
I'm pretty sure this law does no longer hold, as new Nvidia GPUs show only meager performance improvements over their (in class) predecessors. Though this could also be due to the price per chip area increasing faster than performance.
- coolspot 3y ago
  4090 is twice faster than 3090 in almost all metrics.
  - cubefox 3y ago
    It came out two years later, so according to Huang's law we would still expect more than that. Moreover, most other models have seen much smaller improvements, like the 3060/4060.
aix1 3y ago
> more than double (~1.7x) every 2 years To clarify in case anyone else finds this confusing. The linked article suggests a 1.7x annual increase, which compounds to 2.89x every two years.