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"We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run," -- Roy Amara
by ithkuil 3y ago
"We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run,"
-- Roy Amara
- visarga 3y agoWe also tend to underestimate AI hurdles in the short run, especially in other fields than our own.
- Workaccount2 3y agoAs far as I can tell, AI is about 10 years ahead of where experts were forecasting in ~2015.