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Assuming that timeline, can we agree that we have some time (years?) to hash this out further before succumbing to the ideals of a select few?
by cmilton 3y ago
Assuming that timeline, can we agree that we have some time (years?) to hash this out further before succumbing to the ideals of a select few?
- adamsmith143 3y agoThe problem is that even with N years until we reach that point it seems likely that it would take 2*N years to build the proper safety mechanisms because at least currently capabilities research is racing far ahead of safety research. Of course we have no way to know how big N really is and recent results like GPT-4, Llama, Gato, etc. have shifted peoples timelines significantly. So even if 5 years ago people like Geoff Hinton though this might be 30-50 years away there are now believable arguments to make that it might be more like 3-10 years.