2 ms·
What's more realistic: regulatory capture and US hegemony on AI or general intelligence destroying the world in the next 20 years? Go ahead and bet. I doubt yo
by juve1996 3y ago
What's more realistic: regulatory capture and US hegemony on AI or general intelligence destroying the world in the next 20 years?
Go ahead and bet. I doubt you're putting your money on AGI.
- sebzim4500 3y agoProbably yeah but those aren't equally bad.
- MrScruff 3y agoI think it very unlikely you could call a coin flip ten times in a row, but I wouldn't want to bet my life savings on it.
- mitthrowaway2 3y agoWhy would I put money on a bet that would only pay off when I, and everyone else, was dead?
- deleted 3y ago[deleted]
- juve1996 3y agoSam Altman can bet right now. If he truly believes in this risk, he could bet his entire company, shut everything down, and lobby for a complete ban on AI research. If the outcome is certain death, this seems like a great bet to make.
- mitthrowaway2 3y agoIndeed. It's probably what I would do if I were him. Or direct OpenAI entirely into AI safety research and stop doing capabilities research. I watched his interview with Lex Fridman,[1] and I didn't think he seemed very sincere. On the other hand I think there are a lot of people who are very sincere, like Max Tegmark.[2] [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L_Guz73e6fw&pp=ygUWbGV4IGZyaWRtYW4gc2FtIGFsdG1hbg%3D%3D https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L_Guz73e6fw&pp=ygUWbGV4IGZya... [2] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VcVfceTsD0A&pp=ygUXbGV4IGZyaWRtYW4gbWF4IHRlZ21hcms%3D https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VcVfceTsD0A&pp=ygUXbGV4IGZya...