You are almost correct. The claims are called SCTs (precertificates are something else). The SCT is a promise by the log that they have (or will soon) publish

You are almost correct. The claims are called SCTs (precertificates are something else). The SCT is a promise by the log that they have (or will soon) publish the certificate. The promise could be lie. To detect that, the client is supposed to audit the SCT. If the audit fails, the client reports it so the log can be distrusted. So yes, it's true that if an adversary can permanently silo off a client, it can prevent log misbehavior from being detected, either by blocking the reporting of audit failures, or by presenting a completely different view of the log to to the client. However, in many cases it would be impractical for an adversary to keep up such an attack forever, so CT still has value and I'm a huge fan of it. But it's true it can't stop literally all attacks. Source: I run the CT monitor which has detected misbehavior in multiple CT logs.