2 ms·
Assuming Moore's law continues, the answer is probably yes. At some point, you'll have more computing power in your pocket. For example, "ASCI Red" was the #1
by jiggawatts 3y ago
Assuming Moore's law continues, the answer is probably yes. At some point, you'll have more computing power in your pocket.
For example, "ASCI Red" was the #1 in the TOP500 supercomputers list in the year 2000 with about 2 teraflops... roughly the same[1] as an iPhone Pro 14.
The #1 from June 2003 -- almost exactly two decades ago -- is about the same speed as a modern NVIDIA desktop GPU.
As recently as 2014 there were still "supercomputers" near the bottom of the TOP500 list that are about equivalent to 2x RTX 4090 GPUs. That's a rare but readily available configuration for a gaming enthusiast.
So it's about 20-25 years until a supercomputer fits in your pocket, and as little as a decade until you can have one under your desk heating your room.
[1] Most supercomputers measure 64-bit ops, whereas these days people focus on 32-bit ops, but whatever. It's just a factor of two.