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In http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Singularity_Is_Near http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Singularity_Is_Near, Ray Kurzweil also claims that growth is not only e
by 6ren 15y ago
In http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Singularity_Is_Near http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Singularity_Is_Near, Ray Kurzweil also claims that growth is not only exponential (e.g. doubling every x years), but that this rate is itself increasing - which I guess is superexponential.
It's curious that Moore's Law (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore%27s_law http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore%27s_law) seems to be just plain ol' exponential. That is, doubling the number of transistors on a chip every 2 years. That rate itself hasn't increased; it's still 2 years, 47 years on. (BTW the 18 month figure is related, see link).
Why isn't Moore's Law superexponential?
- valisystem 15y agoQuick guess, Moore's law applies for capacity of silicon industry to improve storage and processing of one production line. If you include the increasing number of production lines, the total number of simultaneously connected computers, capacity of producing software that solves complex problems and the many others factors that are included in the global processing power and relevancy of calculus, you might explain this super exponential growth.