3 ms·
> I'll bet in most jurisdictions 100:1 odds count as "beyond a reasonable doubt" for jury instructions in criminal trials. IANAL, but I sure hope that 100:1 ch
by sokoloff 3y ago
> I'll bet in most jurisdictions 100:1 odds count as "beyond a reasonable doubt" for jury instructions in criminal trials.
IANAL, but I sure hope that 100:1 chance, standing alone, doesn't meet the bar for "beyond a reasonable doubt".
To me, a 1% chance of an accusation being false is definitionally "reasonable doubt".
- Wowfunhappy 3y ago...I have no idea where I heard this, but for some reason I was under the impression "beyond a reasonable doubt" meant ~95% confident. (Whereas "preponderance of evidence" meant >50% confident.)
- ajross 3y agoPer Wikipedia, the original framing is Blackstone's ratio from the enlightenment, where he used 10:1. Real courts don't put numbers on this, of course, but that's the thinking that produced the philosophy. Basically: no, given the level of innaccuracy we already know to be present, I think it's very clear that a sincerely-believed 99% confidence will send someone to jail pretty much anywhere in the US. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reasonable_doubt https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reasonable_doubt https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blackstone%27s_ratio https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blackstone%27s_ratio