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>Have some examples? What would be tests that, if passed, you’d say “oh yeah, that’s AGI.” The "G" in AGI is general. A computer program or system that could b
by nemothekid 3y ago
>Have some examples? What would be tests that, if passed, you’d say “oh yeah, that’s AGI.”
The "G" in AGI is general. A computer program or system that could both, lets say write code and learn drive a car would be something closer to an AGI. Written tests are remarkably brittle in showing how intelligent someone is - like we already know the limitations of tests in the real world! Einstein famously flunked his entrance exam, but then invented general relativity at 26; but other posters would have you believe an LLM is more intelligent than Einstein because it could pass a test. When an LLM defends a dissertation in arguably any field that would be way more impressive than an LLM passing a test that humans already designed and know the answers to.
One problem I have with saying a 100x more powerful LLM could become AGI is that there is nothing that leads me to believe that LLMs, as they exist currently, are capable of synthesizing new knowledge and I'm not sure what breakthroughs you would need to get there. Once you start to think about that, you start to run up on the limitations of the LLM. If I were to invent a completely new programming language, I could probably teach a junior engineer how to use it in a week, but the jury is out if I would need to first generate 50,000 sample program and spend $1,000,000 in gpu compute to get an LLM to output the same thing. It's hard to consider such a system AGI. Further still, sure you have Google spending millions of FSD, but it's hard to consider the system they have as general. Could I take Waymo and have it pilot a forklift? Or a submarine? How much would that cost? A """below average intelligence""" human could learn to use a forklift in an afternoon.
All in all, there's more to intelligence than written tests.