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I wish we could end all fossil fuel use by 2050, but even that won't happen. I do think we'll be using substantially less than we are today by 2050 though, so
by slashdev 3y ago
I wish we could end all fossil fuel use by 2050, but even that won't happen. I do think we'll be using substantially less than we are today by 2050 though, so that's something. 2030 is impossible.
The ice in Antarctica won't completely melt, it's been there a very long time and it would take a very long time and a very dramatic change to cause that. If we manage to cause that we're really fucked, because the changes to everything else would be catastrophic. But Greenland could happen over the course of a millennia. That would have far reaching consequences, as it would likely disrupt the Gulf Stream (I know that's not the right name for it, but everyone knows it by that name).
- selectodude 3y agoWhat are we supposed to be calling the Gulf Stream nowadays?
- llsf 3y agoWe might need to reduce our fossil fuel consumption in 2050 because it might be too expensive to use them as we might have pass the peak oil (even unconventional ones)/gas/coal by then. peak oil: More recently, the EIA's Annual Energy Outlook 2015 indicated no production peak out to 2040. However, this required a future Brent crude oil price of $US144/bbl (2013 dollars) "as growing demand leads to the development of more costly resources" source: https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/presentations/sieminski_05042015.pdf https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/presentations/sieminski_050420... peak gas: "One forecast is for natural gas demand to peak in 2035." source: https://www.power-technology.com/features/energy-transition-report-dnv-gl-power-industry-energy-efficiency-peak-gas-wind-solar-renewables/ https://www.power-technology.com/features/energy-transition-... peak coal: Most main coal exporters peaked already. China is scrapping the bottom of the barrel: "In 2021, the government ordered all coal mines to operate at full capacity at all times, including holidays; approved new mines, and eliminated restrictions on coal imports." source: https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-takes-the-brakes-off-coal-production-to-tackle-power-shortage-11634727835 https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-takes-the-brakes-off-coal... I am getting concerned about the impact on increasingly expensive fossil fuel and climate impact on economies. The sooner countries stop to rely on fossil fuel the better, period.