The self-sampling assumption essentially says that you should reason as though your self-sampling is the likely outcome in consciousness-space-time. It's the a

The self-sampling assumption essentially says that you should reason as though your self-sampling is the likely outcome in consciousness-space-time. It's the anthropic principle applied to the distribution/shape of intelligence. Since your self-sample is of a human-shaped mind, human-shaped minds are the most likely outcome. So the probability of AGI is unlikely.