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> By invading Ukraine he blew up his biggest asset: the fog of war around the actual competence of the paper-formidable Russian army, now shown to be less off a

• Applejinx 3y ago
  Exactly. The trouble is, if these people are that insane then the world is already ended. At some point they will be dissatisfied with the state of their empire building, and will go for their nukes, and if the retaliation isn't total, they will just continue to nuke, that being the only weapon they've got left. There is no way out of this. For that reason, there is no variation of the Russian government that can escalate to nukes and win, even if 99 out of 100, or 999 out of 1000, don't even launch and blow up where they stand. If they must empire-build and that is their only remaining option, they and we are already dead. I hope we're not, but it's not up to me. Our planet will continue to have humans as long as Russia doesn't nuke, even as they lose everything. It's pretty much on them, because much like the tritium in the nuke serves to ignite the explosion, Russia attacking serves to ignite retaliation, and there is no option other than retaliation, because if they nuke once they will continue to do so until nothing is left alive.