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I commented[0] the same thing a little while ago here on HN and the comments convinced me that tales like this shouldn't be thrown around so casually. [0] http

• narag 3y ago
  Can a blog post trigger what an open war in Europe hasn't? Decision makers get their information from other, probably more accurate, sources. How many times have you heard the line "nobody expected that Russian army was so useless" in the past year? I'm sure some people knew. We don't know, we won't know until much later.
  • eastbound 3y ago
    It always sounded fun to me that the war decisions were not democratic. They can’t be: Disclosing military information would give an edge to the opponent. But then, when war is declared, when attacks are done, it must always surprise the voters themselves, otherwise it’s predictable.