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It has been a nice experiment to prove our intuition about deflationary currency and hording correct. The other interesting aspect is in terms of Robert Shille
by laratied 3y ago
It has been a nice experiment to prove our intuition about deflationary currency and hording correct.
The other interesting aspect is in terms of Robert Shiller's narrative economics. What is most interesting to me is that the narrative economics and contagion were able to morph the currency narrative into something else so that the hording became a feature and not a bug in the narrative.
It is interesting how people can call BTC digital gold but disregard the downsides of gold at the same time in the exact same way deflation/velocity was ignored in the currency narrative. Gold was the "new" anti-central banking currency in the 70s that had its crescendo because of narratives and central bank policy at around a $3,200 all time high inflation adjusted price that we can't touch even 40+ years later. At the same time macro conditions were set up to take out that all time high price but BTC itself grabbed so much of that flow from gold.
Following the narrative dispersion that the all time inflation adjusted high for BTC is already in will be fun for years to come.
- vitehozonage 3y agoIt's been so volatile, with the prices dependent entirely on hype regarding adoption, so there is certainly no conclusion at all to be made about deflationary currency - the impact of inflation on prices is essentially negligible compared to other factors. It also remains to be seen if the hype cycles will continue, because it hasn't been long since the last one. Adoption as a payment method has likewise been dominated by regulation and expectation about hype cycles affecting the price. I can't see why any of that would be different if the narrative differed to not include deflation. As long as it's new tech and a new unit of value to distribute, this is what you get