5 ms·
In simple terms: Credibility and Checking. We have ways of checking suggestions. Without passing such checks, for anything new, in simple terms. there is no,
by graycat 3y ago
In simple terms:
Credibility and Checking. We have ways of
checking suggestions. Without passing
such checks, for anything new, in simple
terms. there is no, none, zero
credibility. Current AI does not
fundamentally change this situation: The
AI output starts with no, none, zero
credibility and to be taken seriously
needs to be checked by traditional means.
AI is smart or soon will be? Maybe so,
but I don't believe it. Whatever, to be
taken seriously, e.g., as more than just
wild suggestions to get credibility from
elsewhere, AI results still need to be
checked by traditional means.
Our society has long checked nearly ALL
claims from nearly ALL sources before
taking the claims seriously, and AI needs
to pass the same checks.
I checked the credibility of ChatGPT for
being smart by asking
(i) Given triangle ABC, construct D on AB
and E on BC so that the lengths AD = DE =
EC.
Results: Grade of flat F. Didn't make any
progress at all.
(ii) Solve the initial value problem of
ordinary differential equation
y'(t) = k y(t) ( b - y(t) )
Results: Grade of flat F. Didn't make
any progress at all.
So, the AI didn't actually learn either
high school plane geometry or freshman
college calculus.
For the hearings today, we have from
Senator Blumenthal
(1) "... this apparent reasoning ..."
(2) "... the promise of curing cancer, of
developing new understandings of physics
and biology ..."
Senator, you have misunderstood:
For (1), the AI is not "reasoning", e.g.,
can't reason with plane geometry or
calculus. Instead, as in example you gave
with a clone of your voice and based on
your Senate floor speeches, the AI just
rearranged some of your words.
For (2), the AI is not going to cure
cancer or "develop new" anything.
If some researcher does find a cure for a
cancer and publishes the results in a
paper and AI reads the paper, there is
still no expectation that the AI will
understand any of it -- recall, the AI
does NOT "understand" either high school
plane geometry or freshman college
calculus. And without some input with a
recognized cure for the cancer, the AI
won't know how to cure the cancer. If the
cure for cancer is already in the
training data, then the AI might be able
to regurgitate the cure.
Again, the AI does NOT "understand" either
high school plane geometry or freshman
college calculus and, thus, there is no
reasonable hope that the AI will cure
cancer or contribute anything new and
correct about physics or biology.
Or, Springer Verlag uses printing presses
to print books on math, but the presses
have no understanding of the math. And AI
has no real understanding of high school
plane geometry, freshman college calculus,
cancer, physics, or biology.
The dangers? To me, Senator Blumenthal
starts with no, none, zero understanding
of AI. To take his claims seriously, I
want to check out the claims with
traditional means. Now I've done that.
His claims fail. His opinions have no
credibility. For AI, I want to do the
same -- check the output with traditional
means before taking the output seriously.
This checking defends me from statements
from politicians AND from AI. AI
dangerous? Same as for politicians, not
if do the checking.