5 ms·
It is dangerous to rely on common sense. Many people believe that with a little luck you can win at roulette. Even according to my common sense, I would not bel
by chkas 3y ago
It is dangerous to rely on common sense. Many people believe that with a little luck you can win at roulette. Even according to my common sense, I would not believe that the chance is so low. But a little MC simulation tells me how it really is.
https://easylang.dev/ide/#code=n%20%3D%2010000%0Afor%20i%20%3D%201%20to%20n%0A%20%20%20cash%20%3D%201000%0A%20%20%20while%20cash%20%3C%202000%20and%20cash%20%3E%3D%2010%0A%20%20%20%20%20%20cash%20-%3D%2010%0A%20%20%20%20%20%20numb%20%3D%20random%2037%20-%201%0A%20%20%20%20%20%20if%20numb%20%3E%3D%2019%0A%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20cash%20%2B%3D%2020%0A%20%20%20%20%20%20.%0A%20%20%20.%0A%20%20%20if%20cash%20%3E%3D%202000%0A%20%20%20%20%20%20win%20%2B%3D%201%0A%20%20%20.%0A.%0Aprint%20win%20%2F%20n%20*%20100%20%26%20%22%25%22%0A https://easylang.dev/ide/#code=n%20%3D%2010000%0Afor%20i%20%...
- listenallyall 3y agoYou're trying to justify your own article. I don't think many people believe you just need "a little luck" to win $1000 at any casino game while betting just $10 per hand -- most recognize that it's close to impossible when betting that small, because it requires 100 more wins than losses. Perhaps you did not -- that's on you.
- chkas 3y agoYou are trying to justify your comment. You overestimate the mathematical judgment of most people. But all due respect to you for assessing it so accurately. I myself prefer to rely on a MC simulation.